As the southwest monsoon is set to hit the Kerala coast in the next 48 hours, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) stated that monsoon seasonal rainfall in India between June and September is most likely to be normal this year.
As per the IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, the normal rainfall between June and September refers to 96-104% of the Long Period Average (LPA)). The quantitative seasonal rainfall during the period in the country as a whole is likely to be 101% of the LPA with a model error of ±4%. The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm.
He further added that the monsoon seasonal rainfall over the four homogeneous rainfall zones is most likely to be normal over northwest India (92-108%) and south peninsula (93-107%), Mohapatra said and added that the rainfall is most likely to be below normal over northeast India (<95%) and above normal over Central India (>106%).
Regarding the monsoon in Odisha, he informed that Odisha will receive above-normal rainfall in June. The southeast monsoon is expected to hit the Kerala coast by June 3.
He added that usually, the monsoon hits the Odisha coast 10-12 days after reaching the Kerala coast and the IMD will be able to predict five days before the onset of monsoon in the state. IMD will issue the forecast for the July rainfall in the last week of June 2021.
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